數字預測
語言:英語
地區:美國
年份:2018
演員:Billy / Bane / Greg / Carbin / Mona / Chalabi / Richard / De / Veaux / Keith / Devlin / Jordan / Ellenberg / Brian / Fleming / Rebecca / Goldin / Patrick / Murray / Regina / Nuzzo / 傑伊·桑德斯
導演:Daniel / McCabe
簡介:Predictionsunderlienearlyeveryaspectofourlives,fromsports,politics,andmedicaldecisionstothemorningcommute.Withtheexplosionofdigitaltechnology,theinternet,and“bigdata,”thescienceofforecastingisflourishing.Butwhydosomepredictionssucceedspectacularlywhileothersfailabysmally?Andhowcanwefindmeaningfulpatternsamidstchaosanduncertainty?FromtheglitzofcasinosandTVgameshowstothelife-and-deathstakesofstormforecastsandtheflawsofopinionpollsthatcanswinganelection,“PredictionbytheNumbers”exploresstoriesofstatisticsinaction.Yetadvancesinmachinelearningandbigdatamodelsthatincreasinglyruleourlivesarealsoposingbig,disturbingquestions.Howmuchshouldwetrustpredictionsmadebyalgorithmswhenwedon’tunderstandhowtheyarriveatthem?Andhowfaraheadcanwereallyforecast?